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New Zealand Bank Posted:
retail banking is all what an economy needs, I mean what are the governments are doing on this.
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New Zealand Bank Posted:
I don't understand why is the reserve bank so weak and poor !
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mist Posted:
Perhaps IMF formulas are not accurate for this area.
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mist Posted:
" tax increases in one area supports decreases in another is correct" it can only be correct if it is true. Observation and repeated sampling has proven that the hypothesis is faulty. Tax increases in one area are not causally linked to decreases elsewhere - not "possibly", not "it adds up". "Philosophically" it _might_ but testing proves it does not. One could even say "it should" but we both know an equivalent term for "it should" is "doesn't" What drives taxes down is political advantage. If a political party has an agenda they don't want the public to look at too closely, then sweeters (aka "bait") is put forwards. Tax decreases is a classic. This can be achieved because the tax increases and tax decreases are not linked. They're not zero sum nor do they have causal or proportional connection. This is because the "buffer solution" in the middle is that endless hole. tax increase means more spending. tax decrease means more government borrowing. The in/out relationship is decoupled, through size and power in the marketplace (financial economy). The abysmal productivity is because of the massive overheads from doing business in NZ. personal taxes double the rates of the US, huge taxes on goods and services, massive levies on critical imports, price gouging in the energy and communications markets, interest rates 300 to 500 times that of the US!, and not nearly the number of cost writeoffs either (subscriptions, training, vehicle rebates). Nor would get the 401k option either, of rebuying into the same market and not having to pay CGT. Oh and horrendous ever inflating local rates, again much much higher, for less, than our foreign counterparts (excepting Scandinavian countries). Our "abysmal production" is a result of this overtaxation being sand in the gears of the economy, wearing it down and rubbing out real growth. Putting CGT makes that problem worse!! And to sum up... your last comment.... O.M.G. You think that improving our situation, of people not wanting to save or invest in government buggered industry is to bugger up the ability to accumulate equity in useful assets??????? Where do you think people are going to get savings or capital to do anything??? (including retiring when their earning ability is severely reduced!) Put it in finance companies???????????? Buy the oh-so-excellently-performing NZX? In the few companies squeaking by?
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John Walley Posted:
I think we agree on the lending without security issue. It might well be that the intent to change the source of tax and not increase government spending is fictitious, however given the provision that government spending does not change the statement that tax increases in one area supports decreases in another is correct. The broader point is demonstrated by the Romney situation where he pays tax at half the rate of his salaried staff - and in the USA capital gains carry a 15% tax rate - it will be interesting to see how that one pans out. For New Zealand the economic distortions supported by the complete absence of capital gains tax are clear from our abysmal productivity record. Why save, why invest in production (taxed interest paid or via the income statement) when money can be made without tax from passive asset appreciation.
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14/12/09

Getting things done the Singapore way


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Singapore’s economic success has not arrived by coincidence. It is the result of political and economic pragmatism over a long period – they identify a problem and they try to fix it. This timeline of changes to their exchange rate regime shows how they have adjusted both to changing international conditions and internal economic issues (more here).

 Date Changes to the exchange rate regime Singapore Dollars per U.S. Dollar
19 May 1967 The Singapore Dollar (S$) was created (WCY 1984, p.661)  
12 June 1967 The old Sterling-linked Malaysian/Straits Dollar was replaced by the independent Dollars of Singapore, Malaysia and Brunei. All three currencies were freely interchangeable at par. (WCY 1984, p.661) 3.061
20 December 1971 Following the de facto devaluation of U.S. Dollar, through its fixed link to the Pound Sterling at S$7.3469=£ 1.00, the Singapore Dollar appreciated against U.S. dollar. A 4.5% fluctuation range was introduced, creating an Effective Rate. (WCY 1984, p.661) 2.820
25 June 1972 With the floating of Sterling and the dismantling of the Sterling Area, the Singapore Dollar would abandon the British unit and be linked to the U.S. Dollar with a fluctuation range.(WCY 1984, p.661) 2.756-2.833
13 February 1973 Following the devaluation of U.S. Dollar, the Singapore Dollar was realigned. (WCY 1984, p.661) 2.538
8 May 1973 The accord with Malaysia that provided for the free exchangeability at par of the Singapore and Malaysian Dollars was abrogated. (WCY 1984, p.661)  
20 June 1973 Singapore placed the Effective Rate for the currency on a controlled, floating basis, with its exchange value determined against a "basket of currencies" representing Singapore's major trading partners (WCY 1984, p.661). The exchange rate of the Singapore Dollar in U.S. Dollar terms, the intervention currency, was to be determined in the foreign exchange market. Rates for other currencies were to be established on the basis of the daily rate for the U.S. dollar and their cross rates in international markets. (IMF 1979, p.356)
Since then, the authorities have not maintained the exchange rate within announced margins around the par value of 0.290299 gram of fine gold per Singapore Dollar. (IMF 1976, p.394)
 
21 July 1975 The US$150 gold coins were to be treated as gold and could be dealt with in the same way as gold; previously, this coin was treated as local currency and could be imported and exported in the same way as Singapore currency notes. (IMF 1976, p.396)  
1 June 1978 All foreign exchange controls on the Singapore Dollar were abolished. (WCY 1984, p.661) All companies, individuals, and banks could freely deal in foreign currencies, spot and forward. (IMF 1979, p.357)  
7 September 1984 Trading in Eurodollar time deposit interest rate and currency futures contracts of deutsche market against U.S. Dollars commenced at the Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX). (IMF 1985, p.440)  
6 November 1984 Trading in currency futures contracts of Japanese Yen against U.S. Dollars commenced at the SIMEX. (IMF 1985, p.440)  
1985 The Effective Rate was replaced by an Interbank Rate. (WCY 1990-1993, p.516)
Singapore adopted a policy whereby the Singapore Dollar would be permitted to float according to supply and demand on the foreign exchange market, but would be monitored by the Monetary Authority against the trade-weighted basket of currencies. (WCY 1988-1989, p. 518)
 
1998 The authorities use the exchange rate as an intermediate target, allowing the Singapore Dollar to fluctuate within an undisclosed band. The authorities widened this target during the Asian crisis, but did not publicly announce the width of the band. (IMF 1999, p.773)  

Reference:
World Currency Yearbook. (WCY)
IMF Annual Report on Exchange Arrangement and Exchange Restriction. (IMF)
Rajan, Ramkishen S. and Siregar, Reza (2002): "Choice Of Exchange Rate Regime: Currency Board (Hong Kong) Or Monitoring Band (Singapore)?", IPS (The Institute of Policy Studies) Working Paper, No. 12.


As the exchange rate, inflation and overnight interest rate charts demonstrate they now have a stable suite of economic indicators.

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There is a lot we can learn here – identify the real problem, seek effective solutions and take some action. The solution doesn’t need to be perfect, only better than what currently exists; if it works fine, if not, try something else.

Our Government announced a plan to assess its effectiveness in improving productivity on a yearly basis at the beginning of their term. This could extend to a review of the stability of our major economic indicators; clearly it can be done as demonstrated here.

We really do not need to wait another year for the manifestation of yet more imbalances in our economy before we look to changing our policy framework.
 



tags: exchange rate, cpi, interest rates, singapore

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