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New Zealand Bank Posted:
retail banking is all what an economy needs, I mean what are the governments are doing on this.
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New Zealand Bank Posted:
I don't understand why is the reserve bank so weak and poor !
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mist Posted:
Perhaps IMF formulas are not accurate for this area.
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mist Posted:
" tax increases in one area supports decreases in another is correct" it can only be correct if it is true. Observation and repeated sampling has proven that the hypothesis is faulty. Tax increases in one area are not causally linked to decreases elsewhere - not "possibly", not "it adds up". "Philosophically" it _might_ but testing proves it does not. One could even say "it should" but we both know an equivalent term for "it should" is "doesn't" What drives taxes down is political advantage. If a political party has an agenda they don't want the public to look at too closely, then sweeters (aka "bait") is put forwards. Tax decreases is a classic. This can be achieved because the tax increases and tax decreases are not linked. They're not zero sum nor do they have causal or proportional connection. This is because the "buffer solution" in the middle is that endless hole. tax increase means more spending. tax decrease means more government borrowing. The in/out relationship is decoupled, through size and power in the marketplace (financial economy). The abysmal productivity is because of the massive overheads from doing business in NZ. personal taxes double the rates of the US, huge taxes on goods and services, massive levies on critical imports, price gouging in the energy and communications markets, interest rates 300 to 500 times that of the US!, and not nearly the number of cost writeoffs either (subscriptions, training, vehicle rebates). Nor would get the 401k option either, of rebuying into the same market and not having to pay CGT. Oh and horrendous ever inflating local rates, again much much higher, for less, than our foreign counterparts (excepting Scandinavian countries). Our "abysmal production" is a result of this overtaxation being sand in the gears of the economy, wearing it down and rubbing out real growth. Putting CGT makes that problem worse!! And to sum up... your last comment.... O.M.G. You think that improving our situation, of people not wanting to save or invest in government buggered industry is to bugger up the ability to accumulate equity in useful assets??????? Where do you think people are going to get savings or capital to do anything??? (including retiring when their earning ability is severely reduced!) Put it in finance companies???????????? Buy the oh-so-excellently-performing NZX? In the few companies squeaking by?
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John Walley Posted:
I think we agree on the lending without security issue. It might well be that the intent to change the source of tax and not increase government spending is fictitious, however given the provision that government spending does not change the statement that tax increases in one area supports decreases in another is correct. The broader point is demonstrated by the Romney situation where he pays tax at half the rate of his salaried staff - and in the USA capital gains carry a 15% tax rate - it will be interesting to see how that one pans out. For New Zealand the economic distortions supported by the complete absence of capital gains tax are clear from our abysmal productivity record. Why save, why invest in production (taxed interest paid or via the income statement) when money can be made without tax from passive asset appreciation.
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24/6/10

Monetary Policy reform needed to rebalance our economy


Print-friendly 0 comment(s) Posted in: In the media

It is good to see Phil Goff and David Parker start to flesh out the intent to reform monetary policy signalled late last year, says the New Zealand Manufacturers and Exporters Association (NZMEA).  Early this year we saw the International Monetary Fund conclude that small open economies; big on the rhetoric of single lever (interest rates) single target (near term inflation), had done far better than those that implemented such single minded policy for real.

The one lever/one target approach has exacerbated distortions in the New Zealand economy. Investment has flowed to inflate one of the biggest asset bubbles on the planet, and production and productive efforts have been disregarded as we celebrated the fast buck economy with a consumption party.

Labour has picked up on the fact that other export exposed countries, which placed exchange rate stability as the central focus of their monetary policy, have achieved significantly higher long run economic growth.  It is well past time New Zealand followed their lead.

NZMEA Chief Executive John Walley says, “David Parker’s speech has shown that things can change, and that on reflection the policy settings we are clinging on to are not world’s best practice after all.  We saw from Bill English in the 2010 Budget lots of rhetoric around economic rebalancing but little else.  Labour stating at this point what they will do, what they will not do and that they have not decided is a real step forward.”

“Too many elections in New Zealand have been characterised by the major parties seeking to stand on the same spot. Monetary policy might not be as sexy as headline tax cuts but is fundamental to any real economic rebalancing.  Wealth transfers from the trade exposed sector have to stop before it is too late, many farmers and manufacturers are close to the end of the road.”

“If the cycle of falling investment leading to a loss of productivity continues expect fewer jobs and falling comparative living standards. For New Zealand to do better in the medium term the trade exposed sector must get a better deal – the key part of that deal is a trade biased exchange rate we have earned, not an exchange rate floating on the froth of speculation.”
 



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